Bitcoin Poised for a 2025 Bull Market: In-Depth Technical Analysis 📈🚀
Bitcoin is nearing a pivotal technical setup that could signal the onset of its ambitious 2025 bull market cycle. Despite the recent formation of a 1D Death Cross, historical patterns suggest this bearish indicator might serve as a strategic buying opportunity rather than a red flag.
Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50
Since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21, 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, Bitcoin has experienced two additional 1D Death Crosses on Channel Up bottoms (September 04, 2023, and August 05, 2024), creating Higher Lows for the pattern. Concurrently, Bitcoin tested or closed near the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) initiated a squeeze.
This Bollinger Squeeze is critical as it mirrored the conditions during the November 21, 2022 Bear market bottom, commencing slightly earlier on October 31, 2022. Similarly, the squeeze started earlier during all three bottom phases, and the current price action exhibits a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17, 2025, following the near test of the 1W MA50.
The Transition Month
In a typical cyclical manner, each year presents a Channel Up bottom. This bottom process—comprising the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, and 1W MA50 test—appears annually. We term this period as the 'Transition Month,' the phase where BTC shifts from the bottom to the new bullish leg of the Channel Up. For instance, it was December 2022, September 2023, and August 2024 in previous years. With all bottom conditions met once again, we anticipate April 2025 to be the next Transition Month.
What's Next?
Historically, all three previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Considering March 10's close test of the 1W MA50 as the bottom reference, it suggests Bitcoin could reach at least $150,000 on the upcoming top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, and 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 🚀
